Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.760163 51.457389 58.429831 66.199043 74.583295 83.329482 93.113712
2024-10-20 33.998796 43.268632 53.495493 65.482559 79.020122 93.717497 110.764004
2024-10-27 26.877809 37.198575 49.123661 63.644016 80.585015 99.487848 121.940827
2024-11-03 23.911651 35.383771 49.123582 66.333719 86.886242 110.258852 138.472437
2024-11-10 21.145187 33.375892 48.527757 68.000281 91.737057 119.176049 152.752249
2024-11-17 17.752448 30.128884 46.040108 67.051132 93.209472 123.948847 162.072455
2024-11-24 14.916513 27.266674 43.741412 66.070687 94.422964 128.244337 170.699371
2024-12-01 12.931746 25.343558 42.468948 66.219689 96.891797 133.946716 180.929469
2024-12-08 11.249152 23.651490 41.341823 66.418885 99.318054 139.526514 190.971433
2024-12-15 9.932710 22.353114 40.633282 67.070242 102.246022 145.678033 201.687481
2024-12-22 8.368660 20.453764 38.911379 66.222796 103.140011 149.237879 209.198413
2024-12-29 7.519908 19.638600 38.690995 67.375540 106.605821 155.997204 220.643249
2025-01-05 6.771931 18.925219 38.591990 68.704609 110.351635 163.195277 232.764642
2025-01-12 5.656487 17.375846 37.097609 67.970319 111.289177 166.800978 240.422740
2025-01-19 4.477793 15.484531 34.901928 66.088349 110.568507 168.201421 245.259410
2025-01-26 4.267037 15.550803 35.864541 68.841603 116.191744 177.818350 260.485386
2025-02-02 3.899491 15.220129 36.135300 70.547068 120.368811 185.569843 273.381450
2025-02-09 3.167987 13.924232 34.677781 69.575808 120.775809 188.365791 279.966908
2025-02-16 2.537232 12.709905 33.254422 68.572400 121.075006 190.977855 286.291897
2025-02-23 2.131302 11.968237 32.607026 68.724900 122.979130 195.697723 295.321070
2025-03-02 1.782990 11.289995 32.018000 68.928768 124.932103 200.473128 304.426755
2025-03-09 1.522386 10.797583 31.735766 69.595365 127.538493 206.122886 314.677562
2025-03-16 1.169688 9.873461 30.542187 68.728080 127.876440 208.696702 320.921186